Announcing Not Boring Capital Fund III
Announcing Not Boring Capital Fund III
A $30 million Fund to invest in Hard Startups and tell their stories
Welcome to the 4,534 newly Not Boring people who have joined us since December! If you haven’t subscribed, join 181,387 smart, curious folks by subscribing here:
Hi friends 👋,
Happy Tuesday and Happy New Year! After a nice winter break and hours spent staring down my Blank Page, we’re back!
Let’s kick the Not Boring new year off right: by announcing Not Boring Capital Fund III and inviting you to join in.
I’ve been waiting to do this for a while and I can’t wait any longer, so let’s get to it.
Introducing Not Boring Capital Fund III
First things first, Not Boring Capital is back for Fund III: a $30 million fund.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it each time: there wouldn’t be a Not Boring Capital without all of you reading and sharing and giving feedback on Not Boring, so as with Funds I & II, I flipped the switch to 506(c) in order to invite Not Boring readers to get involved.
$30 million Fund with a hard cap at $50 million.
Updated strategy more concentrated, early stage, Hard Startups, new team members.
Early Fund III Investments in biotech, energy, education, web3, and supply chain alongside Lux, a16z, Thrive, Sequoia, Greylock, 8VC, and more.
Backed by many of the same excellent LPs as Funds I & II.
Opening the Fund to accredited Not Boring readers.
The interest in Funds I & II blew me away. The first time we did this, for Fund I, 903 of you expressed $47.5 million of interest. The second time, for Fund II, 1,543 people expressed $135.6 million of interest. This is a very different market, but I’m nervously optimistic.
If you’d like to join us on our mission, you can submit your interest here:
We want our LP group to be one of the big levers we bring to bear for our portfolio companies, so we’re being selective in how we put together the fund. We’ll be prioritizing people traditionally underrepresented in LP bases, long-time Not Boring readers, investors who have participated in syndicate deals, bigger checks who want to back NBC over multiple funds, and LPs who can add insights into the categories in which we’re investing and superpowers to our companies. I’ll reach out to as many people as we can accept ASAP.
A note: In case the last year hasn’t proven this point, let me repeat it: venture capital funds are risky and illiquid. Simply put: don’t invest money you’re not willing to lose, or to keep locked up for a decade. If things go well, we’ll be returning capital in 7-10 years.
So what’s new with Fund III?
Over the past year, I’ve realized that we have the opportunity to make Not Boring Capital a top tier venture fund that’s around for decades, and to do that, we need to evolve. The core of Not Boring Capital remains the same: help companies tell their stories. It’s just getting some upgrades.
Fund III is the harder, better, slower, stronger evolution of Not Boring Capital:
More Concentrated. We’re writing fewer, bigger checks, more slowly over a two-year period, and focusing more of our resources on each of our Core investments.
Earlier Stage. We are investing Pre-Seed through Series A, where we can have the biggest impact on a company’s trajectory, and will look to continue to work with breakout portfolio companies through their lives via SPVs.
Hard Startups. We’re focused on Hard Startups, the ones built on technological and scientific innovation, new business models, and schlep. We believe Hard Startups will drive venture returns in the next decade. This isn’t new, we’ve been investing in Hard Startups throughout Funds I & II, we’re just narrowing our focus.
Liquid Super Team. In addition to Dan, who’s running the business side of Not Boring, we added two double-threats – technically strong, great writers – to our team in order to push out further towards the frontier. Elliot Hershberg, our Biotech Partner, is pursuing his PhD in genetics at Stanford, was a Bio-IT Fellow at 8VC, and writes my favorite Substack on biotech and genetics, Century of Bio. Rahul Rana, our Atoms Research Analyst, is a double-major in Finance & Astrophysics at Rutgers, has interned with Lux Capital and General Atlantic, and wrote a book on deep tech, Making Moonshots.
What got us here was good for a Solo GP, but it’s not enough if we want to build an enduring, top decile fund. I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about what will. There are strands of my thought process in last year’s essays like The Good Thing About Hard Things, Decentralization, Working Harder and Smarter, The Not Boring Liquid Super Team, and Optimism. If those pieces have resonated with you, I think you’ll like what we’re up to in Fund III. It’s the distillation.
Not Boring’s mission is to make the world more optimistic, and the best way I know how to do that is to invest in, write about, and support the companies that give us reason to be excited about the future.
Not Boring’s competitive advantage is our ability to help companies shape their narratives, and that resonates most clearly with founders of complex businesses with bold ambitions.
Not Boring Capital’s main responsibility is to generate exceptional returns for our LPs, and I believe that we’re fortunate to be living in a time when complex businesses that solve hard problems and make the biggest positive impact will drive the biggest financial outcomes.
Things are changing quickly. That’s been a theme in Not Boring since the beginning, and it proves more true each day. Just last year, humans achieved fusion ignition, cured a 13-year-old girl’s Leukemia with CRISPR, and started chatting with ChatGPT. Scratch that – that was just the last month of last year. I see no reason the pace of progress will slacken in 2023 or thereafter.
Companies founded in this decade will shape humanity’s trajectory for the next century. Some people are pessimistic about that trajectory – AI will kill us all, the planet will burn. We are unabashedly optimistic about that trajectory, not in the sense that everything will be perfect, but in the sense that humans have agency, acquire new knowledge, and shape the future we want. Technology companies will have an important role to play in shaping it, and tremendous value to capture from the trillions of dollars shaken loose when they do.
So what role can Not Boring play in shaping the future we want while generating top decile returns?
Here, I think our original hypothesis is more valuable than ever. Paradoxically, many of the founders building the most important businesses are the worst at crafting a narrative. They’re scientists, technologists, and nerds who put all of their brain power into solving the specific hard problems they were born to solve. Their solutions are often complex and difficult to explain to non-technical folks. They don’t like to brag. That’s where we come in.
Over the past couple of years running Not Boring Capital, I’ve invested in and written about companies like Ramp, Replit, Hadrian, Primer, Capital, Composer, Braintrust, NexHealth, Fount, ScienceIO, Unit, Scale. Our thesis has worked better than I could have hoped, but we need to keep evolving.
There’s a temptation in a letter like this to project strength. You’ve likely read VCs’ blog posts over the last year, and if so, you’ve seen a consistent theme: “Everyone else behaved irresponsibly in the bull market, but not us. They’re all in trouble now; we’ve never been stronger.” It’s pretty incredible that every VC did the right thing, except for all of the other VCs.
Me? I’ve done some things really well and I’ve learned some lessons.
Besides inviting you to invest in the Fund, the other reason I send these emails is to pull back the curtain on raising and running a fund. It’s something I would have wanted to read before I started doing this. It should be particularly interesting this time around. Sharing was easy when the market was exuberant; it’s harder in a bear. But that’s when the lessons are most valuable.
So today, we’ll cover it all, the good, the bad, and of course, the optimistic:
Why You Shouldn’t Invest in Not Boring Capital
Not Boring Capital Fund III Thesis, Advantage, and Approach
Early Fund III Portfolio
To Infinity and Beyond
Investing in a venture capital fund in the current environment is not an obvious move. In fact, it’s deeply out of favor. There are plenty of reasons you shouldn’t invest in Not Boring Capital; let’s start with those.
Why You Shouldn’t Invest in Not Boring Capital
There’s this iconic scene in 8 Mile, when Eminem steps to the mic in the final rap battle and rattles off all the negative things his opponent might say about him before going on the offensive. (Parental Discretion Advised)
I like that. Let’s do it.
I did start this fund in Puja’s mom’s basement without any venture experience.
I was a Solo GP and a “Creator GP.”
I did invest in over 200 companies in Funds I & II.
I did invest across categories and stages instead of focusing narrowly.
I am unapologetically bullish on web3 long-term despite the downturn.
There are more knocks, as I’m sure folks on Twitter will point out.
If I’m being honest with you, if I had a time machine, I’d play some things differently. I’d go back and make Fund II a little bigger, deploy a little more slowly, and be sitting on a pile of dry powder right now. But alas, I do not have a time machine.
That said, I’m extremely proud of the portfolio we’ve built in Funds I & II. The thesis worked: we’ve been lucky enough to back exceptional founders building generational companies, and I’m confident we’ll outperform other funds of our vintage.
The strategy – maximize winners, don’t minimize losers – seems to be working, too. In the update I sent to LPs over the weekend, I listed 114 companies I’m bullish on before cutting myself off, and I don’t want to pick favorites in public, so I’ll just go with a few I’ve written deep dives on to give you a sense of the companies and my thinking behind them: Ramp, Replit, Hadrian, Primer, Capital, Composer, Braintrust, NexHealth, Fount, ScienceIO, Unit, Scale.
Today, Fund I is sitting at a 1.31x Gross MOIC (1.21x Net) and a 17.5% Gross IRR (12.2% Net). Fund II is at a 1.08x Gross MOIC (1.04x Net) and a 7.1% Gross IRR (3.7% Net). (Note: these are unaudited, don’t use them as a basis for any investment decision.) These numbers are nothing to write home about and too early to be meaningful – the average life of Fund I investments is 1.4 years and the average life of Fund II investments is 0.86 years.
So how bad was 2022 for the portfolio? Better than you might expect.
Four companies have shut down out of a portfolio of 207 companies.
These represent $270k of losses, or 0.69% of total invested capital.
We’ve seen markdowns in an additional three companies
These represent a paper loss of $192k, or 0.49% of invested capital.
Of note, we participated in the recap of one of those markdowns, and we’ve gained more on a subsequent markup in that investment than we lost in the original markdown.
Crypto is out of favor, but I’m particularly proud of how well our web3 companies have held up:
Of the 67 web3 investments we’ve made, only one has shut down. It was pre-product, didn’t find PMF, and returned ~70% of capital to investors.
Only 6 of our web3 investments have launched tokens, a testament to their thoughtfulness in a market in which many were incentivized to launch quickly.
We’ve held all unlocked tokens, except ConstitutionDAO (sold for a 4.6x).
I’m refraining from making any predictions on our performance throughout this piece, because no one knows how long this market will last or how anyone’s venture portfolio will perform, but I’ll say this: I think our web3 investments are going to surprise a lot of people with their impact and outcomes. Many are Hard Startups taking big swings at important challenges that I would and will back again. They’re tackling climate, decentralizing storytelling, curing rare diseases, giving people ownership of their AI models, building infrastructure, and yes, bringing real estate on-chain.
Overall, our goal was not to minimize losers, but so far, damage has been minimal. There will likely be more pain to come in 2023, but our portfolio is full of Hard Startups that I expect to thrive through and coming out of this bear market.
But to have invested from 2020 - 2022 and not come away with hard-earned lessons and adjustments would be delusional. I’ve learned some important ones through Funds I & II that will inform how Not Boring Capital invests and works with portfolio companies going forward.
While I still believe that funds can generate strong returns by not maximizing winners, there are a few lessons I’m taking away to update my mental model:
Weighting Matters. Maximizing winners and minimizing losers is too binary. You need to have enough ownership of the winners to move the needle.
Our Strategy Works Best on Fewer Companies. 207 companies is too many companies on which to have a meaningful impact – we should better match writing and investing.
Don’t Outsource Conviction. Every fund has different reasons for investing in different companies, and the involvement of great funds doesn’t mean it’s right for us.
I Can’t Do It Alone. Making high-conviction investments at the frontier requires people with a deep understanding of the science and tech behind those companies.
Invest More Slowly. While it’s impossible to predict when markets will turn, it’s important to have cash to invest particularly when markets are bad.
So What? If the world isn’t better in a company’s success case, we shouldn’t invest.
Some of these lessons are so painfully obvious in hindsight that I’m embarrassed to even write them down. Some are lessons that many GPs are learning (or re-learning), and others are more specific to Not Boring Capital. In any case, I think that it’s important to internalize and share those lessons, even if it makes me look dumb. The only way to get better is to learn and improve, and we’re putting the lessons we’ve learned to work in Fund III.
Adapting is the only option. What works in venture capital is going to look a lot different in the coming decade than in the last one. Over the past few years, a couple of blog posts really influenced my thinking on this topic: Alex Danco’s Debt is Coming and John Luttig’s When Tailwinds Vanish. I added my own thoughts to the mix with last July’s The Good Thing About Hard Things:
The argument in all three cases is that when a technology enters the Carlota Perez “Deployment Period,” venture capital probably isn’t the best fit.
Rates aside, many of the categories that drove crazy returns in the last decade are in the Deployment Period. That doesn’t mean that venture capital is dead. It does mean that in order to generate venture-style returns, VCs need to move back to the Installation Period and back riskier, non-consensus companies. Last Thursday, a Substacker named Bullfight Cap wrote Peter Pan and Neverland VC Returns, which summarizes the situation well:
Whether the industry knows it or not, it’s [VC] evolving into an indexing strategy unless it decides to tackle new frontiers and take on new risks. Some firms are thinking this way, focusing on new sectors (like climate, robots, healthcare) and doing a better job of managing fund size growth.
To continue to produce venture returns, venture capitalists need to tackle new frontiers. And to build a top decile fund in the new environment, Not Boring Capital needs to evolve.
Fund III Thesis, Advantage, and Approach
To believe that Not Boring Capital Fund III is going to be a top decile fund, you need to believe a few things:
Opportunity. That the next two years are a good time to invest in startups.
Deal Flow. That Not Boring Capital will see the best companies in our target areas.
Picking. That we’ll be able to pick the right investments among those companies.
Allocation. That we’ll be able to win meaningful allocations in those companies.
Value Add. That we’ll be able to help those companies in a way that bends their trajectories upwards and gives us the opportunity to follow-on in winners.
Portfolio Construction. That we’ll be able to construct a portfolio that maximizes returns if all of the above are true.
If you don’t believe that now is a good time to be investing in startups, then nothing else I’m going to say matters, so that’s a good place to start.
Opportunity: Not Boring Capital’s Thesis
Hard Startups tackling important challenges in big markets will build the most valuable companies over the next decade.
Why? Hard Startups can often tap into large pools of waiting demand, build more defensible businesses, recruit better talent, and tap into that pluripotent wonder: differentiation. That hasn’t always meant they’ve been good venture investments. Why now? Hard Startups are riding some major tailwinds that make capital efficient growth possible just as trillions of dollars are up for grabs in the very big, traditionally tech-resistant categories.
Over the past decade, small teams have been able to build amazing digital products efficiently thanks to the rise of AWS, APIs, and knowledge sharing. That trend will accelerate with AI and web3, as I laid out in Power to the Person. Crucially, we believe that this trend is entering into the physical world, making previously challenged startup business cases viable. Elliot laid out the case for this trend in biotech in Techbio Taxonomy. Similar dynamics are shaking up other hard categories, as I wrote covered in Decentralization. This will lead to new opportunities for early stage funds.
On the Bits side, we believe that infrastructure companies will capture most of the value – whether traditional, AI, or web3 – as it becomes ever easier, and therefore more competitive, to build applications. Like everyone (which is probably a red flag), we’re excited about AI’s potential to change everything, but we’re approaching the space very cautiously for now – there’s going to be an investor bloodbath at the application layer. In web3, we think it’s a great time to be investing, as other investors disappear at the same time as infrastructure improves and entrepreneurs are imbued with a renewed appreciation that they need to create real value for users and connect with real world assets responsibly. Both AI and web3 will impact both Bits and Atoms – new infrastructure is needed for a Decentralized world – and that the intersection of AI and web3, while buzzword bingo, will be an interesting space to watch.
On the Atoms side, we believe that startups will be able to harness new tech and commercialize cutting edge science to both partner and compete with incumbents for large slices of trillion-plus dollar industries like pharma, energy, defense, and education while giving humanity new superpowers.
At the same time, a number of key experience curves are reaching points at which Atoms business models are economically feasible. We’ve covered these before:
The cost of sequencing the full human genome has dropped from $3 billion to $100.
The cost to send a kilogram to space will reach sub-$50 with the impending launch of SpaceX’s Starship, down from $177,900 in 1965.
The cost of a kWh of solar energy plummeted from $0.42 in 2009 to $0.05 in 2021, from the most expensive energy source to second cheapest, tied with hydropower, after wind.
Huang’s Law in GPUs seems to be picking up where Moore’s Law left off.
The price of a lithium-ion battery in kWh fell 97%, from $7,523 when I was in Pre-K in 1991 to $181 in 2018.
Cheaper energy, intelligence, and infrastructure will make previously impossible things possible, and previously uneconomical things economical.
Of course, Hard Startups are hard. One of the most frequent pieces of pushback I’ve gotten from LPs I’ve spoken to about Fund III has been around the investment dynamics of Hard Startups. It’s true that they’ve historically been challenging, especially for smaller funds, but we see the facts on the ground changing, and therefore see this reticence as an opportunity.
We’ve backed a number of companies in traditionally capital-intensive categories with the ability to scale in a capital efficient manner. As one example from our Fund II portfolio, Wander, which is a vertically integrated vacation rental home company, just launched Atlas, the “world’s first vacation rental REIT,” to scale its portfolio without dilutive venture funding. Fund III biotech companies are doing work with AI that would have taken dozens of scientists years to complete, if they could complete it at all.
Thanks to declining cost structures and new business models, we believe that this is the right moment in time for a fund like ours to invest in these categories.
To outperform, you need to believe something that others don’t and act on that belief. That’s easy to say and harder to do, because those beliefs often seem dumb in the moment.
Here’s my dumb belief: the value of top startups will be higher within the life of this fund than they were at the peak in 2021, but the makeup of the list will look very different. Less B2B SaaS, more Moonshots.
Of course, there’s a lot of nuance here: each company is different, not all are pursuing capital efficient models, and sometimes, hard startups really are just hard. I’m happy to discuss in more depth with interested LPs.
If you agree now is a good time to invest in Hard Startups, read on. The question is: can we invest in those top startups?
Advantage: Deal Flow, Picking, Allocation, and Value Add
In that 8 Mile section, I listed “Creator GP” as one of the potential knocks against me. In the bull market, seemingly everyone with an audience and a passing interest in startups launched a fund. LPs have predictably soured on this subset of GPs and rightly wonder whether they’ll stick around. Most won’t.
I don’t particularly like the term Creator GP, but I’ll say two things:
Not Boring Capital plans to be around for a very long time, through good markets and bad.
This newsletter is our greatest competitive advantage, and I think one of the more differentiated in venture. Importantly, it’s about narrative, not eyeballs.
All of it comes together in the Not Boring Flywheel, which Jake Singer first wrote about in Million Dollar Newsletter, when there were only 35,000 of us reading this.
Today, there are over 181,000 of us here, the Flywheel has only gotten stronger, and it can only be enhanced by more tightly coupling the types of companies we invest in and write about with our mission. All of it is in service of helping portfolio companies succeed, pre-credit for which shows up in our deal flow, picking, allocation, and value add. All four are intertwined, but I’ll try to break them apart.
Deal Flow. By writing about the categories and ideas we’re most excited about, we put out a Bat Signal to founders building in those categories that we’re interested in their space, have thought a lot about it, and have a unique perspective to add.
We first met Melonfrost (Fund III), for example, when Sam reached out after reading Elliot’s piece on Ginkgo Bioworks. A large percentage of the founders in our portfolio were Not Boring readers before we invested.
Picking. Spending hours every week thinking deeply about the companies and industries we write about, talking to smart people, and getting feedback sharpens our thinking and helps us connect threads.
Asking ourselves about whether we’d want to write about a company is also a good filter for what matters and what people will find useful, and I think that’s informed our picking ability.
As we concentrate and write Deep Dives on all of our Core Fund III investments, this filter will get even tighter: do we want to spend a week or more of our lives heads down writing about this company? If we do, will our readers care about them? Particularly with a more concentrated fund, choosing what not to invest in is as important as choosing what to invest in.
Allocation. The clarity of the newsletter value proposition helps us win bigger allocations. In Fund I, our average check size was $101,019. One of the questions we had going into Fund II was whether we’d be able to scale that, and we did: the average check size in Fund II was $207,424.
For Fund III, we want to scale that again by writing $500k to $1 million checks in our Core investments and following on in the winners. There’s proof that we can do this. In Fund II, we wrote $500k-$1M checks in 17 companies like Vana, Ramp, ScienceIO, Varda, Primer, Series, Nucleus, and Composer. There’s a theme here: we’ve written about four of the companies I listed, and plan to write about all of the rest when the timing is right for them.
One of the reasons that we’re going more concentrated in Fund III – beyond fund math – is that we can get bigger allocations in better companies when we write about them.
Value Add. Our advantage in seeing great deals and winning allocations typically comes from the expectation that we will ultimately be able to add value. The most straightforward way that we do that is by writing deep dives on companies.
My favorite example of the impact of a deep dive is this tweet from Will Manidis a couple of months after we wrote about ScienceIO in The Model of Everything:
ScienceIO is a Hard Startup, and a complex one to explain, and I think the performance of the piece speaks to the fact that we’re at our best when we’re explaining those types of companies.
In addition to Deep Dives, we’ve also added the Not Boring Talent Collective, which portfolio companies can use to hire Not Boring readers, and the Not Boring Founders podcast and The Founder’s Letter, which give our portfolio founders a chance to tell their stories directly. As more of our portfolio companies launch products worth being optimistic about, we can include them in the Weekly Dose of Optimism. Late last year, I launched Anton Teaches Packy AI with Chroma CEO Anton Troynikov, which helps me learn what’s going on in AI and gives Chroma some extra visibility.
As we continue to evolve, we’ll keep experimenting with new ways to help our portfolio companies tell their stories, and hopefully, to impact their stories in real-time. We’re successful if we give just a little more leverage to the founders who are trying to bend humanity’s trajectory upwards.
Ultimately, we believe we are best-positioned to help those companies tackling the biggest challenges with the best teams and technology through storytelling and that they’re the ones that are most aligned with our mission.
Approach: Portfolio Construction
Our Fund III approach to portfolio construction is our biggest departure from Funds I & II.
In Funds I & II, we invested in 207 companies. For Fund III, with more experience, smarter team members, and bigger ambitions, we’re ready to move to a more concentrated strategy.
The Fund will make roughly thirty Core investments from $500k to $1 million (up to $2 million including follow-on rounds), aiming for 1-5% ownership. We are not looking to lead rounds; we want to be a valuable 2nd - 4th check in Core companies. We will likely write $500k checks in pre-seeds and seeds and $1+ million checks in larger Seeds and Series A’s. We’ll invest roughly 50% in Bits and 50% in Atoms.
We will also write a handful of smaller Explore checks in incredibly talented founders and early stage moonshot ideas, often at the pre-seed and seed. The best of these will graduate to Core investments in Fund III or future funds. We’ll reserve 20% of capital to invest in follow-on rounds for our winning companies.
Previously, we had a third category, Growth, but we’re going to be focusing earlier stage - Pre-Seed through Series A – out of Fund III. We will do later stage portfolio company follow-ons and the occasional high-conviction later stage deals via SPVs, to which LPs will have first access.
Of course, this is a riskier strategy than a broader portfolio on paper, but if we want the chance to earn top decile venture returns, we need to take venture risks.
Ultimately, we’re resetting and doubling down on Not Boring’s unique strengths, which we think are particularly well-suited for the market to come. Many VCs focus on a particular sector, which can work very well if that sector is doing well. We’re more hybrid, which I think makes sense in a market that’s changing as quickly as this one: we’re focused on Hard Startups broadly with a horizontal skill set – writing – and can add depth in the areas we’re most interested in by adding double-threats like Elliot and Rahul to the team.
As I’ve written about before, I’m a big fan of differentiation, even for its own sake, and love a good coherent strategy. An added benefit of our strategy is that our unique advantage is strengthened because there’s no one like us focusing on investing in Hard Startups and helping them tell their stories.
Big funds like Lux, Founders Fund, and a16z’s American Dynamism practice are certainly focused on Hard Startups and are excellent lead partners for founders. There are excellent smaller funds focused on many of the specific verticals we’re investing in, but few who cover the breadth we do. And as far as I know, there aren’t any small, non-lead funds investing in Hard Startups who have storytelling at their core.
But it’s early, and everything above is just words. The proof is in the portfolio.
Fund III Early Portfolio
We began fundraising among existing LPs last year and have started investing out of Fund III, and so far, I’m really excited about the portfolio we’re building. It gives a good flavor of the types of companies we’re going to be investing in going forward.
To date, we have invested $2.6 million in nine companies (6 Core, 3 Explore) out of Fund III in companies in biotech, web3, energy, and education since we began deploying.
Our investments in nxyz, Atomic AI, Melonfrost, Circa, Tlon, Jia, Odyssey, and Jaza (the ninth is still in stealth) offer a good flavor of the types of investments we’re making out of this fund:
Hard Startups: Each of the startups we’ve backed is building something hard. That might mean that it’s technically difficult (Circa, nxyz, and most of our investments), scientifically cutting edge (Atomic AI, Melonfrost), requires some legislative schlep (Odyssey, for example), impacts hard-to-impact markets (Jaza, Jia), or requires a business model innovation (Tlon). If a hacker can build something 50% as good in a weekend, we’re not interested. We’re looking for businesses that will build deep moats if they succeed, and in many cases, that requires a head start.
Early Stage: All Fund III investments have been at the Pre-Seed, Seed, or Series A, with a concentration at the Seed stage.
So What? Atomic AI will transform the design of RNA-targeted and RNA-based medicines to treat currently undruggable diseases. Jaza is bringing power to the 600 million people disconnected from the grid. Jia is filling the $5T developing market credit gap. nxyz is building data and indexing infrastructure that’s critical to a performant web3. Circa is mapping the world’s supply chain down to the joule level to strengthen the global supply chain and reduce waste. Tlon is building the operating system for web3 and a new paradigm for app development. Odyssey is giving parents choice in how they educate their children. Melonfrost is building Evolution-as-a-Service so that organism designers can grow anything. If our portfolio does well, the world does better.
We’re not building this portfolio specifically to perform in a bear market – bear markets are temporary, and this one hopefully won’t last the 10 year life of the fund – but an added benefit to investing in companies that are solving problems fundamentally important to people, where no alternatives exist, is that there will be demand in any market if they pull it off.
Anyone who invests in Fund III will be investing in these companies that are already in the portfolio, and hopefully, similarly bold and ambitious ones over the next two years.
We have been incredibly selective with our Fund III investments to date and will continue to apply the same high bar going forward.
To Infinity and Beyond
This is the start of a new chapter for Not Boring, one that draws on everything we’ve learned so far and everything that gets us so excited about the future. My goal is for this portfolio to be legendary: I want other investors to talk about our returns in a decade, founders to talk about Not Boring’s contributions for years, and our grandkids to still be talking about the impact our companies had in a century.
I feel incredibly lucky to get to write and invest in companies I respect as a living. Thank you for giving me the opportunity to do it. I hope you’ll join us.
If you’d like to consider becoming an LP in Not Boring Capital, please submit your interest here:
It’s not going to be easy, but it’s going to be fun.
Thanks to Dan, Henry, Elliot, Rahul, and Puja for the comments and feedback!
That’s all for today! We’ll be back in your inbox on Friday with the first Weekly Dose of Optimism in 2023.
Thanks for reading,
Packy
Congrats Packy! 3️⃣🏀 So excited to work with you and bend the world's trajectory upwards! 🌍🚀
Great piece - appreciate the transparency on past performance and openness on learnings and focus going forward. Congrats and good luck with Fund III!