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Howard Yu's avatar

Hi Packy, the Magnequench story is the clearest warning. General Motors co-invented the small, powerful magnet that sits inside electric motors and the guidance systems of smart bombs, then sold the business to Chinese buyers in 1995 with a promise to keep the factory and jobs in the US for five years. The production lines moved to China before those five years were up, and the know-how went with them. That handover matters now: on April 4, 2025 China began requiring export licenses for the specialty metals that keep these magnets working at high heat, its magnet exports fell by about three-quarters in two months, and carmakers in the US and Europe had to slow or stop production within weeks. When one country can switch your supply off like that, making the motors at home is about pure survival for business. Pricing or efficiency suddenly looks like a secondary consideration.

Raghav Kumar's avatar

Amazing read as always, Packy. Some thoughts:

1. The China reliance loop doesn't really get broken until we also make the machines that build the actuators + motors here in the US. If we don't want their actuators in our robots, why do we want their machines building the actuators in our robots? Kudos to Westmag for building the motion systems, but it's a solved problem - the real gnarly thing we need to build are the multi-million dollar machines we buy from China to build the machines (i.e. motors)

2. Autonomous robotic manufacturing will herald a new form of manufacturing that the US will excel at - we ought to rethink the software design <> manufacturing loop instead of trying to beat China at their own game.

3. We can, in fact, build motors at competitive prices in the US if we can automate the labour, which is >60% of the production costs for folks like KDE, Vertiq, etc.

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